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Year 11 Maths

Binomial Distribution

Learn the conditions for a binomial setting, the P(X = k) formula, and how to find the mean and variance of a binomial random variable.

Conditions for a Binomial Distribution

A random variable X follows a binomial distribution if the experiment satisfies all four of these conditions:

1

Fixed number of trials (n)

The experiment is repeated a set number of times.

2

Two outcomes per trial

Each trial results in either "success" or "failure."

3

Constant probability (p)

The probability of success is the same for every trial.

4

Independent trials

The outcome of one trial does not affect any other trial.

We write X ~ B(n, p) to indicate X follows a binomial distribution with n trials and success probability p.

The Binomial Probability Formula

The probability of getting exactly k successes in n trials is:

Binomial Probability

P(X = k) = nCk · pk · (1-p)n-k

nCk

Ways to arrange k successes among n trials

pk

Probability of k successes

(1-p)n-k

Probability of (n-k) failures

Mean and Variance of Binomial

For X ~ B(n, p), the mean, variance, and standard deviation have elegant formulas:

Mean

μ = np

Variance

σ2 = np(1-p)

Standard Deviation

σ = √[np(1-p)]

Key Vocabulary

Binomial Distribution

A distribution that models the number of successes in n independent trials, each with probability p.

Trial

A single repetition of the experiment, with exactly two possible outcomes.

Success Probability (p)

The constant probability of the desired outcome on each trial. q = 1 - p is the failure probability.

B(n, p)

Notation indicating X follows a binomial distribution with n trials and success probability p.

Worked Examples

1

A fair coin is tossed 5 times. Find P(exactly 3 heads).

Step 1: X ~ B(5, 0.5). We need P(X = 3).

Step 2: P(X = 3) = 5C3 × (0.5)3 × (0.5)2 = 10 × 0.125 × 0.25

Answer: P(X = 3) = 0.3125

2

X ~ B(20, 0.3). Find the mean and standard deviation.

Step 1: Mean = np = 20 × 0.3 = 6

Step 2: Variance = np(1-p) = 20 × 0.3 × 0.7 = 4.2

Answer: Mean = 6, SD = √4.2 ≈ 2.049

3

A multiple choice test has 8 questions, each with 4 options. If a student guesses randomly, find P(exactly 2 correct).

Step 1: X ~ B(8, 0.25). We need P(X = 2).

Step 2: P(X = 2) = 8C2 × (0.25)2 × (0.75)6 = 28 × 0.0625 × 0.177979

Answer: P(X = 2) ≈ 0.3115

Knowledge Check

Select the correct answer for each question. Click "Check Answer" to see if you are right.

Question 1

Which is NOT a condition for a binomial distribution?

Question 2

X ~ B(10, 0.4). What is E(X)?

Question 3

X ~ B(6, 0.5). What is P(X = 0)?

Question 4

X ~ B(10, 0.4). What is Var(X)?

Question 5

A factory produces items with a 10% defect rate. In a sample of 5 items, what is P(exactly 1 defective)?

Key Concepts Summary

Year 11: Discrete Distributions Year 11: Data Types & Displays