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Year 4 Mathematics Probability AC9M4P01

Chance and Probability

Chance describes how likely an event is to happen. We use words like impossible, unlikely, even chance, likely, and certain.

What You Need to Know

Key Concept Diagram

Impossible events will never happen (probability = 0)

Certain events will always happen (probability = 1)

Events can be described as unlikely, even chance, or likely

Probability is often shown on a number line from 0 to 1

Key Vocabulary

Probability

A number from 0 to 1 showing how likely an event is

Impossible

An event that cannot happen (probability = 0)

Certain

An event that will definitely happen (probability = 1)

Even chance

An event that is equally likely to happen or not (probability = 0.5)

Knowledge Check

Select the correct answer for each question. Click "Check Answer" to see if you are right.

Question 1

You roll a standard dice. What is the chance of rolling a 7?

Question 2

A bag has 5 red balls and 5 blue balls. What is the chance of picking a red ball?

Question 3

What is the probability of the sun rising tomorrow?

Key Concepts Summary