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Year 8 Maths Probability AC9M8P01

Probability & Relative Frequency

Probability measures how likely events are. Experimental probability comes from trials; theoretical probability is calculated mathematically.

What You Need to Know

Key Concept Diagram

Theoretical P(event) = favourable outcomes ÷ total equally likely outcomes

Relative (experimental) frequency = number of successes ÷ number of trials

As trial number increases, experimental probability approaches theoretical probability

Complementary events: P(event) + P(not event) = 1

Key Vocabulary

Trial

One experiment or observation in a probability experiment

Sample space

The set of all possible outcomes

Relative frequency

Experimental probability based on actual results

Complementary event

The event of something NOT happening

Knowledge Check

Select the correct answer for each question. Click "Check Answer" to see if you are right.

Question 1

A bag has 3 red and 7 blue balls. What is the theoretical probability of picking red?

Question 2

In 100 coin flips, heads appeared 53 times. What is the relative frequency of heads?

Question 3

If P(rain tomorrow) = 0.3, what is P(no rain tomorrow)?

Key Concepts Summary